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The Correlation and Linear Regression Analysis between annual GDP Growth Rate and Money Laundering in Albania during the period 20072011


Presentation speakers
 Llambrini Sota, University ‘Pavaresia’ Vlore, Albania
 Fejzi Kolaneci, University of New York in Tirana, Albania
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Abstract:
This study is the first attempt to investigate the relationship between the annual GDP growth rate and money laundering in the Republic of Albania during the period 20072011. The main result of the study: there is a negative correlation between money laundering process and economic growth rate in Albania during the specified period; there is a negative correlation between money laundering and import, but there is a positive correlation between money laundering and the government expenditure, as well a positive correlation between money laundering and export.
More concretely:
1. The coefficient of correlation between cases referred in the prosecutor`s office for money laundering(X) and the annual GDP growth rate (Y) is r= – 0.74.The equation of the linear regression is y= 7.2827 – 0.0585x.
2. The coefficient of correlation between cases reported in the police for money laundering(X) and the annual GDP growth rate (Y) is r= – 0.81, while the equation of the linear regression is y = 7.270.024x
3. The coefficient of correlation between reported CAA (Cases for Alleged Activity) for money laundering(X) and the annual GDP growth rate (Y) is r = – 0.49, while the equation of the linear regression is y = 7.14110.0107x
4. The coefficient of correlation between government expenditures and the cases referred in the prosecutor’s office for money laundering is r = 0.72
5. The coefficient of correlation between government expenditures and the cases reported in the police for money laundering is r = 0.79
6. The coefficient of correlation between net export and the cases referred in the prosecutor’s office for money laundering is r = 0.89
7. The coefficient of correlation between the cases referred in the prosecutor’s office for money laundering and unemployment rate is r = 0.64
8. The coefficient of correlation between the cases reported in the police for money laundering and unemployment rate is r = 0.60
9. The coefficient of correlation between the cases referred in the prosecutor’s office for money laundering and inflation rate is r = 0.22
10. The coefficient of correlation between the cases reported in the police for money laundering and inflation rate is r = 0.136
11. The coefficient of correlation between the cases referred in the prosecutor’s office for money laundering and the investments in Albania is r = 0.979
12. The coefficient of correlation between the cases reported in the police for money laundering and inflation rate is r = 0.9736
13. The coefficient of correlation between the cases referred in the prosecutor’s office for money laundering and the foreign direct investments in Albania is r = 0.95
14. The coefficient of correlation between the cases reported in the police for money laundering and the foreign direct investments in Albania is r = 0.8941
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